TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed Under60c5,953$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over40c4,190$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c3,631$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c2,146$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c1,959$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over45c1,911$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.951428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under55c1,700$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9224058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under54c1,250$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under57c892.73$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.874238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0614564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c831.94$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under53c806.19$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9135251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c761.64$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over46c648.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under53c626.68$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5435352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c624.6$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c615.09$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under54c560.56$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8613351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4516153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over46c523.51$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over27c501.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5215…b02fbacked Over27c490.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c34…2bc7backed Over46c486.6$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.196850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over46c423.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.927953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over26c384.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under55c363.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over46c345.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over46c345.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under56c344.55$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over37c340$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.214146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.144949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c301.56$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.71,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under55c300.8$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under53c277.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.551,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over46c271.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c266.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.963,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c255.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over46c254.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.53125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c249.7$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c242.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under55c224.4$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under54c220.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3122450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed Under55c216.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27eb…0232backed Over46c215.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over46c213.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.395145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c203$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over44c199.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under78c193.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under55c180.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1911253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c177.68$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c177.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.324,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over44c170.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under55c168.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over31c157.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4813830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under53c146.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8925727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x531b…da26backed Over45c146.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.232365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under55c145.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4227154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over46c143.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1910728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over16c138.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.351,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c136.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.925563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…03b7backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over46c108.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Over45c100.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under54c94.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over46c92.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under55c89.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3310349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c82.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over45c76.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6413339.8%53 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…24b8backed Under56c76.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Under65c75.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.387057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Over46c68.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.644447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c63.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.733,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Under56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under53c53.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under55c50.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.752,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c49.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Over46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over46c44.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.446253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.