Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd479bab5eb64fcafcd8a0ac54cde114d19f71274dd765ef004799cc1d141ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saudi Arabiaof Senegal, Saudi Arabia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saudi Arabia | 77c | 2,609$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Senegal | 24c | 1,760$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saudi Arabia | 71c | 1,561$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Senegal | 25c | 1,298$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Senegal | 34c | 833.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Senegal | 24c | 753.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Senegal | 34c | 529$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Saudi Arabia | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Saudi Arabia | 66c | 309.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Saudi Arabia | 65c | 300.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Senegal | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Saudi Arabia | 66c | 231.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Senegal | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Saudi Arabia | 71c | 209$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Senegal | 20c | 191.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Senegal | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Senegal | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Senegal | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Senegal | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…9873backed Senegal | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Senegal | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Senegal | 34c | 134.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Saudi Arabia | 68c | 117.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Saudi Arabia | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Saudi Arabia | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Senegal | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Senegal | 33c | 99.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal | 34c | 96.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 75.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 66.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Senegal | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Senegal | 33c | 51.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Saudi Arabia | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Senegal | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Senegal | 36c | 40.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Saudi Arabia | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Senegal | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Saudi Arabia | 65c | 28.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Saudi Arabia | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Saudi Arabia | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Saudi Arabia | 67c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Saudi Arabia | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…c046backed Saudi Arabia | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.