Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4985e2aad27a0a5b10eda0a04eec12fea15d16d45410642d547d887d6d3fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 3,791$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,620$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 57c | 2,104$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.96 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 7c | 1,200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.74 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Over | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 77c | 878.09$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.13 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 7c | 820.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.26 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 802.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 67c | 762.81$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 44c | 700$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 47c | 597.93$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 8c | 554.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.93 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 7c | 552.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 460.27$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 7c | 325.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 318.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 298.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 70c | 283.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 44c | 279.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Over | 46c | 253.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Under | 47c | 216.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 8c | 215$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Over | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 60c | 105.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 64c | 101.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 65c | 101.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Over | 30c | 100.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 44c | 90.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Over | 51c | 86.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 59c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 49c | 70.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…7ce4backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 70c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 80c | 33.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 76c | 23.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…08cdbacked Over | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.