CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Sangal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3c3191d98a85b47b2ae916658669177456434a7c9955112103b1876ddc2a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof CSDIILIT, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Sangal | 80c | 3,239$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.87 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed CSDIILIT | 8c | 2,215$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 1,204$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sangal | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.22 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sangal | 74c | 785.04$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 702.74$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 493.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sangal | 65c | 335$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…274dbacked Sangal | 60c | 331.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CSDIILIT | 33c | 305.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…43ccbacked CSDIILIT | 27c | 261.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Sangal | 61c | 180.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 145.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 143.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Sangal | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sangal | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 91.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked CSDIILIT | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Sangal | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Sangal | 66c | 76.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Sangal | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Sangal | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed CSDIILIT | 42c | 67.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSDIILIT | 44c | 66.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked Sangal | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 45.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sangal | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…af32backed CSDIILIT | 32c | 33.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sangal | 78c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Sangal | 74c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…178bbacked Sangal | 78c | 30.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked CSDIILIT | 51c | 29.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…3835backed CSDIILIT | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Sangal | 73c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Sangal | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Sangal | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Sangal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs CSDIILIT (+1.5) CSDIILIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.