Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1bb66cf765635a4556207ab42e98a875de399712a485a99a9acc8980a1dde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Fairfield Stags, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe278…b608backed Siena Saints | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 785.79$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 646.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 644.93$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fairfield Stags | 10c | 557.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Fairfield Stags | 17c | 497.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Siena Saints | 54c | 477.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Siena Saints | 53c | 430.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Siena Saints | 77c | 409.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Siena Saints | 54c | 291.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 218.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 198.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 168.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Siena Saints | 54c | 149.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Fairfield Stags | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Siena Saints | 77c | 128.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Siena Saints | 78c | 127.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…8f41backed Siena Saints | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Siena Saints | 65c | 99.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Fairfield Stags | 22c | 83.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 71c | 83.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…1ca3backed Siena Saints | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 78.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Siena Saints | 54c | 64.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fairfield Stags | 23c | 63.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints | 72c | 49.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 48.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 43.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Fairfield Stags | 42c | 42.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…8d4bbacked Siena Saints | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Siena Saints | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 28.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Siena Saints | 79c | 28.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Fairfield Stags | 46c | 28.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Fairfield Stags | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Siena Saints | 56c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saintsthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 137.5Under won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.