CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c11bd1c2435a13849d22a524413cbe3d88bcf709c9a5fa625879edd6159796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Team Novaq, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Novaq | 57c | 1,514$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Novaq | 60c | 1,203$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 942.12$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Novaq | 19c | 743.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Novaq | 20c | 677.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Novaq | 46c | 557.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Omega | 41c | 555.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega | 44c | 447$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega | 42c | 438$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omega | 41c | 420.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omega | 48c | 398$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Novaq | 14c | 397.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…b3a0backed Team Novaq | 38c | 370.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 41c | 352$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Omega | 47c | 344$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Novaq | 58c | 317.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…d570backed Team Novaq | 16c | 313.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 42c | 300$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 62c | 285.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Omega | 41c | 280$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Novaq | 51c | 278.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Omega | 45c | 277.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Team Novaq | 36c | 275.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Omega | 41c | 271$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Team Novaq | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Omega | 30c | 229.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Omega | 39c | 207$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Novaq | 41c | 202$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Omega | 49c | 200.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Omega | 37c | 196$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 21c | 187.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Omega | 41c | 169.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Novaq | 59c | 159.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…baddbacked Omega | 44c | 155.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Omega | 42c | 133.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Omega | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Novaq | 51c | 112.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 53c | 107.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 100.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Omega | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Omega | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Omega | 41c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 41c | 90.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Team Novaq | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Novaq | 17c | 86.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Novaq | 64c | 76.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32d9…3fcebacked Omega | 40c | 73.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…70ffbacked Omega | 51c | 60.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Omega | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Novaq | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Omega | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Novaq | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Team Novaq | 46c | 52.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfa…1f89backed Omega | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Team Novaq | 44c | 44.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Novaq | 25c | 44.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Omega | 26c | 42.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…bea7backed Omega | 66c | 40.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Omega | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Novaq | 45c | 37.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…82c2backed Team Novaq | 35c | 37.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Team Novaq | 52c | 36.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Omega | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Team Novaq | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Omega | 48c | 33.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Omega | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…597bbacked Team Novaq | 58c | 32.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Omega | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Omega | 41c | 31.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omega | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…7992backed Omega | 44c | 29.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Omega | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…d362backed Team Novaq | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Team Novaq | 43c | 26.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Team Novaq | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Team Novaq | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.