Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Florent Bax
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6183d72ac2c65a6d79fb35114fe7824d5258ec1bee7748b87bcd1f4ecb9133df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Trungellitiof Marco Trungelliti, Florent Bax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Florent Bax | 6c | 8,495$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Florent Bax | 22c | 1,249$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Florent Bax | 23c | 1,034$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Florent Bax | 24c | 661.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florent Bax | 22c | 526.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 454.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Florent Bax | 3c | 349.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Florent Bax | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Florent Bax | 18c | 242.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florent Bax | 13c | 191.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Florent Bax | 23c | 176$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 160.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Florent Bax | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Florent Bax | 24c | 120.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 119.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florent Bax | 14c | 95.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Florent Bax | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Florent Bax | 23c | 83.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Florent Bax | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florent Bax | 18c | 65.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florent Bax | 17c | 59.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…4f45backed Marco Trungelliti | 80c | 43.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 40.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Marco Trungelliti | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…22a8backed Marco Trungelliti | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Marco Trungelliti | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.