Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb960075b64595ea0b5df1eeedbec8cca9b3d41bb3847a389ecfa4b98e685577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 46c | 236,023$107,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,492.89 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 44c | 203,448$89,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,516.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 56c | 199,990$111,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,995.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 9,546$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 5,595$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 55c | 3,382$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.81 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 55c | 3,218$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 1,669$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 45c | 1,473$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,396$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 1,386$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 961.21$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.54 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 55c | 915$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 829.6$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Yes | 45c | 485.03$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 55c | 464.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…4388backed Yes | 43c | 388.37$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 352.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 332.25$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…bff0backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Yes | 44c | 292.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 222.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 213.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 191.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Yes | 45c | 111.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 50c | 87.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 85.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 52.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Yes | 46c | 52.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…6ab0backed Yes | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 40.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 57c | 39.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 42c | 35.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e6f6backed Yes | 44c | 34.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed No | 58c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No | 51c | 27.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.