Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a0ebd169a043c688d66c68804c3d611f73eee52a034c8179d7866ff983a571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 26c | 713.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 586.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 25c | 560.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 520.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 502.79$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 432.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 21c | 401.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 255.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 241.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 238.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 217.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 26c | 165.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 148.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 120.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 112.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 74.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 72.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 23c | 62.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 56.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 53.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 25c | 40.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 28.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.