TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks30c6,587$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.5252760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs20c6,091$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks30c5,579$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.6325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs79c5,361$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs70c4,872$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Spurs72c3,747$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks18c3,050$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Knicks6c2,448$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.1327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks30c2,320$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62418445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs70c1,781$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.9425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs69c1,540$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.8966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Knicks10c1,073$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks28c868.9$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.741,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks19c712.31$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…a12abacked Spurs71c699.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks9c640$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs6c599.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs73c556.85$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs18c549$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks17c525$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.3893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks29c498.17$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8613161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs71c490.4$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs17c416.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks9c400$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks30c354.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks28c336.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks77c333.51$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x772d…1846backed Knicks30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Knicks29c318$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.785435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks29c317$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Spurs71c301.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.94751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks62c284.15$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks9c268.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.039956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Knicks27c250.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.946619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks19c231.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Knicks29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.97546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs14c202.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1721242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Knicks28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Knicks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs21c198.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs28c184.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Spurs71c178$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.384047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs17c171.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1616640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs23c164.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs71c161.56$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7115759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Knicks20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+95.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07a1…9838backed Knicks30c148$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.611742.7%50 W · 67 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Spurs71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Knicks77c138.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.893461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Spurs71c137.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks40c130.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks18c130$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Spurs71c114$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9426147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9042842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks28c93.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Spurs71c72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1214649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Spurs71c69.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs70c62.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.793164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs71c53.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks29c49.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.971,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs71c48.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3210757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs71c47.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Spurs43c46.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Spurs71c43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5336153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs70c42.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Spurs48c42.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Spurs71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.440048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Knicks54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Knicks44c30.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks80c30.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Spurs71c29.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2914753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks35c29.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs42c29.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs72c24.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Spurs79c19.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.587062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Spurs75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.