TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Pistons, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,877 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat52c81,730$42,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,230.591,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat51c74,387$37,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,493.1187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons49c62,033$30,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,396.3187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Pistons50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons49c14,442$7,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,096.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons52c13,990$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat51c13,573$6,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,650.952,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Pistons49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pistons49c10,150$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.41,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pistons50c9,000$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat50c8,663$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat50c7,724$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons52c7,547$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.2717050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat50c6,759$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons49c6,005$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat47c5,518$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons53c5,001$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.761,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Heat53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.9815450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons47c3,128$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.091,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat50c2,608$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.382,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pistons48c2,094$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat46c2,053$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat51c2,043$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.8829748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons48c2,000$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.8948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heat51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Heat52c1,648$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.0164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat51c1,633$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.344,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Pistons50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat52c1,249$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.622,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pistons48c1,231$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons50c1,227$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.1757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Heat50c1,032$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6528842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons51c956.91$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.061,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pistons48c781.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat52c770$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Heat52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Heat51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29422746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Pistons48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons47c433.29$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Pistons54c365.94$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.55567.3%37 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heat52c363.51$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons48c340.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.681,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat50c340.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.033,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Heat49c324.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Heat49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15352844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Pistons50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Heat53c212.69$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4424946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Pistons48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons48c206.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons50c199.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Pistons48c179.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4413155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Heat51c155$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.954650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pistons53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Heat50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Pistons51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Heat51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2521743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Heat52c136.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5236045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pistons49c126.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pistons48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Pistons49c102.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pistons52c100.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Pistons50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Pistons50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Heat49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5140541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Pistons53c99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4712552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Pistons51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Pistons51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Heat51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Pistons48c96.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Pistons53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat52c72.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.043,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ac…76a9backed Pistons51c67.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.652657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat51c66.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6750648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Heat48c60.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5320350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Pistons53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Pistons48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons51c50.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.783,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Heat48c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Heat49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Pistons50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Pistons50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons53c37.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Heat51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2954854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Heat52c33.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1827350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Heat52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7724250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.