NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1dcbddcfaccaaeced314b9c88294102f9cce1cb33a3f1c1ec8bcd80ebb86de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pistons, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 52c | 81,730$42,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,230.59 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 51c | 74,387$37,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,493.11 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 62,033$30,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,396.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pistons | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 49c | 14,442$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 52c | 13,990$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 51c | 13,573$6,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Pistons | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 49c | 10,150$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 8,663$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 50c | 7,724$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.75 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons | 52c | 7,547$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.27 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 50c | 6,759$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,005$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 47c | 5,518$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.76 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Heat | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.98 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 47c | 3,128$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 50c | 2,608$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 46c | 2,053$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat | 51c | 2,043$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.88 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,000$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.89 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Heat | 52c | 1,648$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 51c | 1,633$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 52c | 1,249$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.62 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pistons | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 50c | 1,227$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.17 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Heat | 50c | 1,032$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 51c | 956.91$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pistons | 48c | 781.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Heat | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Pistons | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 47c | 433.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Pistons | 54c | 365.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 52c | 363.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 48c | 340.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 50c | 340.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Heat | 49c | 324.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Heat | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Pistons | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Heat | 53c | 212.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons | 48c | 206.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons | 50c | 199.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Pistons | 48c | 179.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Heat | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pistons | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Heat | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Pistons | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Heat | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Heat | 52c | 136.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 49c | 126.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pistons | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Pistons | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 52c | 100.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Pistons | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Heat | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Pistons | 48c | 96.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 52c | 72.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…76a9backed Pistons | 51c | 67.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Heat | 48c | 60.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Pistons | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pistons | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 51c | 50.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Heat | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Heat | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Heat | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Heat | 52c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Heat | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HeatHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.