NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe37f9327c37c4a65e89b2c4dfb2b55eeaddf1ada9273368db80b46f18cfb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pistons, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,185,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 55c | 525,808$288,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236,871.81 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 45c | 505,324$227,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,395.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Heat | 57c | 142,851$81,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,759.99 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 45c | 41,205$18,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,419.13 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons | 44c | 25,734$11,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,322.92 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons | 46c | 24,952$11,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,477.75 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 44c | 22,391$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,856.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 45c | 21,590$9,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 56c | 21,559$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.04 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 46c | 20,778$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Pistons | 45c | 18,117$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.65 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 55c | 14,536$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 55c | 13,129$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 45c | 11,834$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.24 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pistons | 43c | 10,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pistons | 45c | 8,827$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Heat | 53c | 8,767$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Pistons | 43c | 8,058$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.93 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons | 49c | 8,000$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.87 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 44c | 7,982$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Pistons | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 43c | 6,429$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat | 56c | 6,080$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.48 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 44c | 5,899$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Pistons | 26c | 5,853$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.76 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pistons | 42c | 5,525$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.25 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 57c | 5,314$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 45c | 5,117$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 54c | 5,115$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat | 55c | 4,944$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.78 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,256$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.55 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pistons | 43c | 3,948$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.54 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat | 55c | 3,929$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.92 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Heat | 52c | 3,566$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heat | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Heat | 57c | 3,345$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.5 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Heat | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 45c | 2,502$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.84 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,213$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pistons | 48c | 1,967$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Heat | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.25 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 53c | 1,318$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.28 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 54c | 1,100$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Pistons | 45c | 1,094$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.41 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 42c | 1,027$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heat | 71c | 792.25$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 47c | 730.73$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…2928backed Pistons | 45c | 711.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 47c | 630.64$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Heat | 58c | 614.51$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Heat | 56c | 557.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pistons | 43c | 556.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Heat | 73c | 555.28$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Pistons | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Pistons | 44c | 443.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 55c | 441$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Heat | 56c | 430.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Heat | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons | 49c | 387.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Heat | 52c | 347.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 41c | 319.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Pistons | 45c | 313.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Pistons | 19c | 266.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pistons | 45c | 222.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Pistons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Pistons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Heat | 56c | 217.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Pistons | 45c | 214.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Heat | 56c | 206.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 45c | 187.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons | 47c | 185.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 43c | 164.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 162.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat | 55c | 160.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons | 45c | 157$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 76c | 153.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 43c | 152.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Heat | 62c | 151.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pistons | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 55c | 148.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Heat | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Heat | 57c | 141.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Heat | 57c | 137.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pistons | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Heat | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Heat | 56c | 125.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pistons | 47c | 115.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Pistons | 44c | 113.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…7753backed Pistons | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 38c | 108.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HeatHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.