Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9797322e98f42bb04a58d3dfb255ec675bb98d0158018ed81fd492e852b6f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristiansund BKof SK Brann, Kristiansund BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,337 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristiansund BK | 72c | 936.35$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked SK Brann | 34c | 713.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Kristiansund BK | 66c | 448.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed SK Brann | 34c | 365.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SK Brann | 18c | 325.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Kristiansund BK | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed SK Brann | 34c | 120.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed SK Brann | 34c | 113.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed SK Brann | 34c | 111.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed SK Brann | 34c | 101.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Kristiansund BK | 66c | 93.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Kristiansund BK | 66c | 92.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Kristiansund BK | 66c | 92.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Kristiansund BK | 66c | 86.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed SK Brann | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kristiansund BK | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.