Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4ded47ce8ddbb541010dafb34dddf444f5c91d60d55da195e323e561701fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 31c | 753.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 367.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 357.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 349.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 316.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 70c | 295.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 244.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 187.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 72c | 167.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 71c | 143.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 72c | 125.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed No | 29c | 66.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…2ae8backed No | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 69c | 42.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Yes | 71c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Yes | 71c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Yes | 71c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Yes | 71c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Yes | 71c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Macarthur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.