TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team54c13,493$7,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,234.1534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex62c6,451$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00016058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex57c6,023$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.2866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team38c2,707$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.642,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex57c2,265$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed BetBoom Team36c2,238$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.8418143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex59c2,073$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.3120159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed BetBoom Team54c1,396$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0520949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex42c975.92$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.972,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed BetBoom Team35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1410334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team48c832$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed BetBoom Team61c676.19$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1915653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…886abacked Team Yandex22c522$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.842931%9 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked BetBoom Team50c458.26$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5110342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed BetBoom Team40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex53c380.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex69c376$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team49c322.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4436054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex58c265.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0631245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team52c257.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4156848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex58c214.94$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.661,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…f103backed BetBoom Team36c213.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10451140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed BetBoom Team52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9719664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Yandex60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Yandex53c187.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Team Yandex54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…06c2backed Team Yandex40c183.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.86742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Yandex40c154$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1636051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex45c151.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.751,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.573743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Yandex55c148.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.579750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5367853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…4a84backed Team Yandex18c110.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Yandex64c105.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.732161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed BetBoom Team48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.088833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Team Yandex54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…e589backed BetBoom Team46c97.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Yandex54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.852243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed BetBoom Team43c81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1711841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex38c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba08…21f1backed Team Yandex64c73.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed BetBoom Team41c72.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8540047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Team Yandex64c71.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Yandex50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3558152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed Team Yandex64c69.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed BetBoom Team53c60.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.573240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20a6…0b06backed Team Yandex54c51.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Team Yandex54c46.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team47c40.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6132854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.863032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Yandex50c28.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3656243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Yandex54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Team Yandex60c27.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1125648%123 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex59c23.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.