Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82c7957142374bbef3c571b398a93877bfa20113ca338bd290e0b202170a938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 2,983$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.2 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 2,818$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 2,470$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 309.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 152.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 133.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 131.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 98.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 79.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 79.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 75.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 74.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 62.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 50.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 36.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 35.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 29.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-12.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 153.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 154.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.