Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c699168c2f62ae455f0337267bb3bc7ad7663d2ce6d06836b54464065a6742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 49,492$26,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,384.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 16,129$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 46c | 14,980$6,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,089.2 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 48c | 9,936$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.56 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.69 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 1,424$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.46 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 506.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 50c | 399.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 377.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 50c | 332.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 109.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 94.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 56.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 52c | 25.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 49c | 23.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 153.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-12.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.