Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7082b9a6ea07ef4ec2f95c938c5d277a5174ae229be02debe099ab05df7035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 54c | 34,000$18,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,639.98 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New Haven Chargers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 5,280$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Haven Chargers | 46c | 2,735$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 2,574$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.04 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 1,538$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.37 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 1,386$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.46 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Haven Chargers | 48c | 357.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 319.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 308.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 54c | 294.03$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New Haven Chargers | 46c | 224$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Haven Chargers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Haven Chargers | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 55c | 124$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed New Haven Chargers | 51c | 117.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New Haven Chargers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 82.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked New Haven Chargers | 47c | 81.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 80.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…5182backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 51c | 79.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 74.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 70.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed New Haven Chargers | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 47.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed New Haven Chargers | 50c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New Haven Chargers | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-2.5)this page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. New Haven ChargersCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 128.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.