Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. New Haven Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9a31e4238f863caad14c0469c370cb0fd30f543e5552ed028924ff7c6e3d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 60c | 620.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed New Haven Chargers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Haven Chargers | 40c | 535.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 14c | 312.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 279.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 75c | 234.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 223$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Haven Chargers | 6c | 202.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Haven Chargers | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed New Haven Chargers | 34c | 167.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked New Haven Chargers | 24c | 156$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 152.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 57c | 141.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Haven Chargers | 12c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 75c | 124.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked New Haven Chargers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 60c | 95.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Haven Chargers | 31c | 73.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Haven Chargers | 21c | 72.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Haven Chargers | 42c | 71.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…c898backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 67.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed New Haven Chargers | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed New Haven Chargers | 35c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Haven Chargers | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…6d59backed New Haven Chargers | 40c | 30.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Haven Chargers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 60c | 26.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 67c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. New Haven Chargersthis page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 128.5Over won
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-2.5)Central Connecticut State Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.