NHL · resolved market
SHL: Malmoe vs. Leksands IF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf7d165b9aa696fa11c3b8d65281aef30a3607bad84cd2254e9e3caab7fdf1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malmoeof Malmoe, Leksands IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Leksands IF | 46c | 535.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Malmoe | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…c730backed Leksands IF | 43c | 304$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Leksands IF | 45c | 224.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Malmoe | 55c | 211.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Malmoe | 54c | 190.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Malmoe | 54c | 185.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Malmoe | 54c | 157.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Malmoe | 56c | 121.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leksands IF | 44c | 101.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Malmoe | 57c | 100.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Leksands IF | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Leksands IF | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.