NHL · resolved market
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82729699035b555cb34bf35d3687b50d4afec8650711351aa45e2d74f9fd261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sibir Novosibirskof Sibir Novosibirsk, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 1,155$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.98 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 1,112$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.08 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 729.01$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 341.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed SKA St. Petersburg | 60c | 266.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 46c | 243.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 231$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…1b0cbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…1336backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 189.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 183.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 183.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 182.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…29ebbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…e995backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 52c | 173.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 172.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed SKA St. Petersburg | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…b63fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…a41cbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…d985backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…38d2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…072dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…dfb3backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed SKA St. Petersburg | 61c | 106.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…c92bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…af23backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…1f0ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…5a6bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…dd37backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…255fbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…79afbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…01a2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f594backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…f807backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…8e0ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…cc55backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…e2a8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 92.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 86.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 86.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…7475backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…bf3bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0ddfbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…67b6backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 66c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 27c | 62.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…378fbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…528abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 61.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 34c | 55.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…7765backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…7bb6backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…d093backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 56c | 46.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…b11cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed SKA St. Petersburg | 56c | 44.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…d14bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…4eadbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…f6e5backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 36.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 44c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 27.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 46c | 22.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.