South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f480f785983718dd4a542875283a4432f8ee9cb00b112d7e442db682ceec9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 61c | 4,063$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.67 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,101$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Under | 39c | 440.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 283.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Over | 61c | 224.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 61c | 216.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Under | 39c | 180.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 38c | 63.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Over | 61c | 61.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Over | 61c | 61.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Over | 61c | 56.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 73c | 54.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 51.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 62c | 36.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.