TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,340 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over48c32,221$15,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,466.043740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c15,895$7,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,629.598146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under52c10,925$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2445560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under52c9,572$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,594.765455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c9,254$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.8510246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c9,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.9350644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under52c6,529$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7125…23eebacked Under52c5,945$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2b…9e65backed Under52c5,190$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c5,078$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over57c2,199$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.419550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under53c1,620$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Under51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,299$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c897.57$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under52c880.77$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c737.13$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.722,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under52c680.8$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under53c607.55$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over49c432.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.78850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c427.44$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.95257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over50c401.03$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5113327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Over48c349.44$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c328.08$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.872,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over17c282.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…40fabacked Under51c230.06$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c229.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8432345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc51…dcdabacked Over49c212.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.77550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…da14backed Over49c200.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9827846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9419145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…33adbacked Over48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc964…aca1backed Under51c183.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6733…96eebacked Over56c179.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c85…f14ebacked Over48c175$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under50c158.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.199272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca1…baf3backed Over49c149$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f46…8279backed Over49c149$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6a…089bbacked Under52c144.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Under52c142.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ea…e2a4backed Over48c132$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.251,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over49c123.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over49c122.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c120.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0536554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under52c111.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.425947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4659645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c98.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c92.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under52c84.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.676344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Under51c77.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…3a2cbacked Under53c77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011e…380cbacked Under53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c75.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8211850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under51c74.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38f…0791backed Under53c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4104…8b66backed Under53c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Over25c61.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.722416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-74.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f1d…32fabacked Under52c61.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over39c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa0…6e12backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3926158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under51c53.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0532…57abbacked Under53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over45c51.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.148342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6e…17abbacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…0f78backed Under53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under52c47.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f8…ed27backed Under53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2701…3235backed Under53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…5c1ebacked Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d3…a0e9backed Under53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over48c35.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.336240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa172…83c8backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over47c30.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2122335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under51c29.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Over49c29.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1575…5323backed Under53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd2…0408backed Over48c28.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b44…5f27backed Under53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…f99dbacked Under53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c25.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3410750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.