Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb783f624931c509f8330858971f4cddabfa4ce8a437ad04d7d63b95231b164bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,593 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,984$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 31c | 1,249$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 171.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 51c | 130.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…96eebacked Yes | 44c | 119.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 106.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 49c | 101.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 66.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Yes | 29c | 61.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 50c | 49.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 24c | 48.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 50c | 34.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 30.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…dc79backed Yes | 40c | 28.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 50c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.