TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere47c31,152$14,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,550.562,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team65c29,195$18,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,994.731,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team43c13,891$5,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.9889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere35c9,900$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,418.0240051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team47c9,621$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,543.381,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere42c7,310$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed BetBoom Team58c7,160$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,12647650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere35c7,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.3642650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere35c6,842$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.2896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team51c5,367$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.321,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team51c5,224$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.221,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35027143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team49c4,503$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.721,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere49c3,303$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.6835062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere74c2,822$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.6953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere54c2,777$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.6116954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team55c2,764$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.5343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere38c2,696$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.551,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere45c2,650$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.510646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team46c2,240$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere32c1,896$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.4737945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BetBoom Team78c1,799$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40016256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere50c1,776$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88813442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed BetBoom Team50c1,733$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.7357449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed BetBoom Team37c1,650$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.53844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere49c1,634$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team54c1,525$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.642,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team54c1,400$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.441,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere46c1,271$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.851,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere47c1,250$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team49c1,243$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.111,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere65c1,226$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere38c1,158$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.141,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team52c1,145$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2656548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BetBoom Team64c1,099$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.3936547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Natus Vincere37c1,095$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5910949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere43c1,092$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.3560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere31c1,054$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.031,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team51c1,005$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Natus Vincere35c866.36$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.1329548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BetBoom Team36c776.59$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.011,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere36c766$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2450347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team63c750$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed BetBoom Team67c749.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BetBoom Team51c749$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.041,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BetBoom Team6c740$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere52c672$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3644645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere43c603.85$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.461,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BetBoom Team48c570.44$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4265647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere30c563.51$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Natus Vincere35c514.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2920452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere32c511.66$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.668150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed BetBoom Team54c500.54$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…b4fabacked BetBoom Team65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team52c495.92$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8874549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere39c489.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.681,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked BetBoom Team67c449.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed BetBoom Team67c446.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked BetBoom Team68c440.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team65c434.25$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Natus Vincere33c424.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.221747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed BetBoom Team51c413.56$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9416242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed BetBoom Team42c349.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.510753.3%57 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere51c346.68$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere54c339.57$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.244149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed BetBoom Team60c339.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7217454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed BetBoom Team56c339.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19013144.3%58 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Natus Vincere55c326.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1830356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere44c320.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team65c315.02$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.761,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1956…750ebacked Natus Vincere29c314.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.961323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere32c311.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3577941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Natus Vincere62c309.1$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.469650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere29c292.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.062,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere51c288.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce0…72c1backed Natus Vincere39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked BetBoom Team78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19554058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked BetBoom Team45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.55468.5%37 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere28c249.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere50c246.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed BetBoom Team65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere64c222$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8819352.3%101 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere36c220$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14130041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere55c217.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere27c216$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6861548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Natus Vincere50c206$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10426958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team61c205$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0579341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed BetBoom Team71c202.36$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8422961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed BetBoom Team54c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.542053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Natus Vincere36c195.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3358356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Natus Vincere42c190.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.485242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed BetBoom Team69c190.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Natus Vincere39c183$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3122552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere33c179.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1818544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed Natus Vincere57c160.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.112151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Natus Vincere36c160$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.458250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Natus Vincere39c153$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0920448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Natus Vincere38c152.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.