Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0acf82e1f64a39284915b0e12ebaf0d1eecdd3dd548bcc3a833beeaedf642012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 24,145$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 18,276$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 17,131$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.76 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 9,833$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.01 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 4,050$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 10c | 3,640$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Yes | 1c | 2,916$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Yes | 10c | 1,940$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 1,685$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,450$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 1c | 1,118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes | 10c | 950$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 5c | 579.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 6c | 561.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 10c | 552.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 10c | 520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…7d64backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9943backed Yes | 10c | 499.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 10c | 470$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…f73abacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…3665backed Yes | 10c | 399.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 9c | 388$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Yes | 10c | 340$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 10c | 299.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 273.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 10c | 245.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…650abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 6c | 195.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…23ddbacked Yes | 10c | 186.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed Yes | 10c | 174.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 10c | 130.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 10c | 105.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.