Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550fa41db7c8c4bf4e95056f0ae88732a05016419f61e81a6db99cab8db8cfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 17c | 8,823$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.91 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 18c | 6,095$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.1 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 80c | 5,205$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2990…7cbdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,835$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 3,803$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 3,094$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 2,646$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 17c | 2,223$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.83 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 18c | 2,070$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…95a8backed Yes | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 17c | 823$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 18c | 690.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 505$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 6c | 398.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 19c | 360$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 278$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes | 14c | 242.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 15c | 218.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 19c | 204.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…321bbacked Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…55acbacked Yes | 17c | 123.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 107.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 21c | 88.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Yes | 20c | 76.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 18c | 73.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…1eccbacked Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…6362backed Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 18c | 62.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…7800backed Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…2328backed Yes | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Yes | 19c | 60.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…a82abacked Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…9b02backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…7193backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.