Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcae5a887cea92a091d585fef69edaea4471b4f372769d5f3e25f905a3706779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 15,643$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 72c | 11,310$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.07 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 10,305$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.27 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 1c | 5,626$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,815$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 52c | 2,771$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 36c | 2,470$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 1,786$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 80c | 1,463$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 23c | 1,068$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 825.9$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.65 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 77c | 745.68$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 10c | 433.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 71c | 423.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 360$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 293.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 231.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 222.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 214.21$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 59c | 153.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed No | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…0c0abacked Yes | 13c | 95.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 58c | 84.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 23c | 77.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 58c | 74.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 51c | 64.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 77c | 62.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 29c | 55.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 22c | 52.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 52.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 49.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 23c | 49.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Yes | 46c | 42.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…80b3backed Yes | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…3ce6backed Yes | 79c | 32.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 65c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 54c | 22.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 68c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 73c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.