Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x049849541e2f30877f0d181cf7a3609bc6012df5db84a41793b11431372380f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 2,006$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,791$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 1,319$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 1,083$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 978.62$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 502$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 483.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 20c | 483.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 383.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 236.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 224.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 45c | 219.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 198$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 58c | 173.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 165.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 29c | 161.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 150.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 34c | 144.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 139.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 68c | 130.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 54c | 118.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 115.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 114.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 54c | 74.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 70.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 43c | 57.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 56.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 52.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 36c | 45.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 44.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 44.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 56c | 42.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 34c | 40.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 39.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 56c | 39.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 28c | 38.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 33c | 36.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 69c | 36.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 61c | 35.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 55c | 34.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 29.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 55c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 45c | 25.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 24.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…3e28backed Yes | 43c | 24.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…1642backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked No | 79c | 21.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.