Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f49e054d8eb09f563dcd102f47ee09e0a7fce163d5d758152e5ed85742626a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 63c | 5,530$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 2,847$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.94 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 2,167$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.27 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,732$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 38c | 1,466$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.59 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 27c | 1,315$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 68c | 1,257$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.51 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 57c | 1,191$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 31c | 969.87$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.47 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 22c | 677.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 635.89$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 31c | 485.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.73 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 64c | 392$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 31c | 379.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.63 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…c7e8backed No | 36c | 367.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 69c | 301.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 71c | 269.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 28c | 254.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 58c | 222.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 56c | 219.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 34c | 211.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed No | 6c | 185.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 13c | 175.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 17c | 160.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 27c | 149.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 65c | 144.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 35c | 141.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 39c | 141$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 76c | 140.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 136.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 32c | 128.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked No | 41c | 122.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 109.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 35c | 109.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 79c | 105.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 37c | 103.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 38c | 103.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 94.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 70c | 91.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 76.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 66c | 72.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 70.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 66.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…4515backed No | 27c | 50.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 41.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 39.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 36c | 37.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…5aa3backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Yes | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 37c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 62c | 27.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.