Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b99df01d4cee77ee00c4aa2af209e6132beb8234429e22f2f1bf50ef337d404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 26c | 3,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 76c | 3,750$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,597$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 2,145$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.27 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 78c | 1,418$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked No | 77c | 1,200$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,003$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 21c | 984.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 935.08$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 25c | 829.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 725.02$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 656.61$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 22c | 477.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 12c | 472.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 79c | 444.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 392.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 9c | 362.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 25c | 230.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 200.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 192.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 134.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 24c | 109.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 107.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 14c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Yes | 22c | 92.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 55.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 51.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 76c | 51.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 51.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 36.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 75c | 31.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 78c | 23.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…42c8backed No | 76c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.