Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3af4d0d821450d7929db83defb781453cd5f11c286a62d7bb8ffea5ce7984b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 3,156$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 2,008$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.69 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 1,474$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.79 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 34c | 1,422$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 25c | 1,347$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,208$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,028$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.82 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 840$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 692.5$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 539.88$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.91 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 40c | 534$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…cd6bbacked Yes | 25c | 389.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 26c | 315.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 62c | 272.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 67c | 269.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 225.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 62c | 183.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 170.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 155.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 75c | 153$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 67c | 148.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…ff13backed Yes | 25c | 140.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 138.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 137.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed No | 76c | 131.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 70c | 107.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 91.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 88.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Yes | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…1878backed No | 76c | 58.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked No | 66c | 57.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 50c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 63c | 47.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 77c | 45.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 38.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 77c | 32.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 68c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?No won
- Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.