Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40dfa2a6ff1b4465b460f1b154dcec7dec0ba49912768999534e21dd43d6f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 67c | 12,500$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.28 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,957$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.96 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 33c | 2,707$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.74 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,367$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 1,189$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 14c | 1,155$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 69c | 1,136$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 8c | 1,124$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 972.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 33c | 834$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 774.49$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 769$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.77 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 33c | 742.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 724.93$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 664.5$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 560.36$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 23c | 469.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 364.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 33c | 323.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 35c | 274.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 66c | 252.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked No | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 34c | 111.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 35c | 110.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…f861backed Yes | 18c | 81.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 25c | 60.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…983fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 47.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 34c | 30.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 66c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.