Champions League · resolved market
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfab6430414accdbc9b2997a5f6c6d885b6db94a746f6f75013bb63a82fc2282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 2c | 25,269$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +254.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 10,306$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 7,592$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.89 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 5,026$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.66 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 19c | 3,484$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.3 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 6c | 3,115$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 6c | 2,969$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 80c | 2,805$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…77f4backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 6c | 2,370$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…4bc7backed Yes | 16c | 1,602$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 3c | 1,127$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 905.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 840.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 14c | 820.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 20c | 702.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 5c | 542.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 16c | 398.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 380.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 356.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 19c | 320.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Yes | 19c | 289.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…b4f0backed Yes | 18c | 278.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 276$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…e693backed Yes | 11c | 270.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6d…55ccbacked Yes | 15c | 259.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 19c | 251$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 80c | 211.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…fcd1backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…8d63backed No | 80c | 177.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 15c | 165.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 156.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 80c | 153.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 152.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 13c | 148.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Yes | 20c | 143.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed No | 80c | 138.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 10c | 107.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 97.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…1b70backed Yes | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Yes | 19c | 74.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 19c | 64.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 60.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 19c | 58.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 18c | 56.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 80c | 41.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e633backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 80c | 22.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.