South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b737dae105df202d9c365225c9f811b92fe825df8f4b0594687743078791ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.17 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 24c | 2,737$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 2,352$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 2,034$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.57 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 1,069$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,012$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.61 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 865.2$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 23c | 687.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 508.22$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 502.82$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 359.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 74c | 305$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 24c | 289.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 271.91$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 24c | 204.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 201$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 77c | 174.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 112$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 74c | 110.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 110.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 24c | 91.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 74c | 66.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 65.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 52.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 46.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 77c | 35.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…7248backed No | 74c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 74c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 77c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.