South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef32948525223b9867f4bc318dccd0ca1cfc4c072184065fc306d5676e12fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 5,653$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.4 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 4,775$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.35 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 1,942$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.59 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 58c | 1,406$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.62 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,342$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,140$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.05 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 42c | 1,118$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 23c | 780.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 663.79$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.68 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 41c | 594.07$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 19c | 586.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 514.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 49c | 485.1$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 472.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 457.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 339.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 269.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 236.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 232$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 205.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 188.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…9cb0backed Yes | 52c | 157.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…85debacked Yes | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 72.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 68.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 51c | 64.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 52c | 51.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 45.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 49c | 41.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 39.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…cf80backed Yes | 46c | 38.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 49c | 34.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…79c1backed Yes | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 76c | 29.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Yes | 51c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…8cd4backed Yes | 76c | 14.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.