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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No22c25,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9836842.9%158 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d6…308abacked Yes70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No11c6,722$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No18c5,115$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.552,06836.7%758 W · 1,310 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes71c4,782$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.5191444.5%407 W · 507 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes74c3,772$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7147643.9%209 W · 267 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes71c3,668$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.0622352%116 W · 107 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes71c2,689$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.852642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No9c2,681$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.273461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed No8c2,541$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.342147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No29c2,262$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0879250.1%397 W · 395 L+2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No29c2,225$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8187250.2%438 W · 434 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No30c2,121$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.012,13247.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,13950.8%579 W · 560 L+27.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907326%19 W · 54 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No6c991.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.741540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed Yes71c882.77$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dc…d577backed No23c817.9$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c790.78$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.162,36146.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No30c655$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.721,11147.9%532 W · 579 L+2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d68…8239backed Yes72c615.28$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes72c602$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.566237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No21c578.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7637639.6%149 W · 227 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No6c549.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.292941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+352.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No29c402.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0117650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No11c399.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618229.1%53 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccaa…80b3backed No8c357.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No28c350.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.271618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…2b25backed No28c313.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9303…731abacked Yes71c296.02$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910253.9%55 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes71c278.87$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes71c274.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4678139.8%311 W · 470 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed No17c256.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No11c224.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes71c215.24$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.131,47137.8%556 W · 915 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes72c197.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.228261%50 W · 32 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No13c186$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1895744%421 W · 536 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes71c184.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes80c170$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.57751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No8c165.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7413332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c165.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2293348.2%450 W · 483 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes72c164.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.031485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.527446.4%127 W · 147 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes72c148.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No29c138.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No8c128.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Yes71c119.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de6…9b47backed Yes71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.682774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No29c111.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.399755.7%54 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7345…4b28backed Yes72c104.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.172969%20 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No12c103.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.035745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2919955.8%111 W · 88 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No30c99.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.791050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No15c95.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.994134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No12c85.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.265728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes70c84.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes71c75.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No28c75.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.011450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes72c71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a46…a56dbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c66.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092,58852.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L+10.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No28c65.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5341552%216 W · 199 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.821974%162 W · 57 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes73c58.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.910656.6%60 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7926060%156 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes72c52.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes70c48.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.535860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes72c45.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes72c42.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0921953.9%118 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes72c40.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.423562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x845d…f0a3backed Yes71c36.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No31c32.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Yes72c28.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.177276.4%55 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05f…eeb2backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.786756.7%38 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781580%12 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes71c27.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes77c23.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.540950.6%207 W · 202 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes69c21.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.696061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes70c21.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.437263.9%46 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3446…b449backed Yes71c20.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.986100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes80c18.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.863372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Yes72c18.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes72c17.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.851090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+258.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes72c16.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes72c15.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.