Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Sarajevo win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c85efb54096ec2ac8ea7074a6b4196f7a647d06321bd56e05b1e29ac21532c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 20c | 6,983$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 2,854$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 1,927$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Yes | 42c | 1,856$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.26 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 1,598$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 18c | 1,536$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,277$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 47c | 1,264$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 1,172$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.47 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,170$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 71c | 710$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 18c | 628.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 617.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 42c | 611.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Yes | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…1950backed Yes | 42c | 444.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 11c | 440.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 420.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 26c | 365.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 362.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 58c | 335$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 268.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 24c | 268.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 198.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 7c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 178.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 59c | 170.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 170.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7529backed Yes | 20c | 164.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 162$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 114.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Yes | 44c | 110.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 110.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 30c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…ed56backed No | 57c | 102.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 19c | 99.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Yes | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 90.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 16c | 76.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 23c | 71.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 67.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 63.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 79c | 58.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 55.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 43c | 45.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 76c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 79c | 28.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 27.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 56c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked No | 80c | 17.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Sarajevo win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.