Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631a78881346a0c88ea4bf3da4b76a0682e4701bcb844b21227a44fd3cb07a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 2,623$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 1,706$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.98 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 25c | 1,669$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 50c | 1,250$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.1 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,040$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.74 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 714.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 677.68$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 49c | 604.37$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 527.56$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 76c | 502$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 408$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 404.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 3c | 382$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 68c | 319.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes | 61c | 313.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 307.85$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 306.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 24c | 299.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 43c | 292$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 40c | 238.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 205$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 178$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 162.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 32c | 154.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 63c | 129.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 41c | 115.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…5cb6backed Yes | 15c | 102.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 71c | 92.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 52c | 91.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 40c | 85.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 66c | 75.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 73.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 39c | 70.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 66.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 28c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 50c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 74c | 50.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 17.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will FK Sarajevo win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.