Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Kasra Rahmani vs Oleksii Krutykh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab1fb9515e04100ea570cf7d9f736f4db7b21c5add9df7ce74148ebdc83a28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksii Krutykhof Kasra Rahmani, Oleksii Krutykh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kasra Rahmani | 4c | 19,900$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kasra Rahmani | 14c | 4,801$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.3 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Kasra Rahmani | 6c | 2,923$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kasra Rahmani | 8c | 2,743$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…97dabacked Kasra Rahmani | 10c | 2,216$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kasra Rahmani | 13c | 1,524$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kasra Rahmani | 11c | 1,215$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kasra Rahmani | 24c | 1,019$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kasra Rahmani | 26c | 914.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kasra Rahmani | 3c | 764.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Kasra Rahmani | 6c | 722.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kasra Rahmani | 25c | 517.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 74c | 422.44$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Kasra Rahmani | 9c | 263.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Oleksii Krutykh | 76c | 256.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kasra Rahmani | 24c | 248.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kasra Rahmani | 7c | 209.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 75c | 203.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Kasra Rahmani | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kasra Rahmani | 10c | 169.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Oleksii Krutykh | 77c | 160.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kasra Rahmani | 23c | 140.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Kasra Rahmani | 11c | 130.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Kasra Rahmani | 10c | 108.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Oleksii Krutykh | 74c | 47.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Oleksii Krutykh | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 75c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Oleksii Krutykh | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Augsburg: Kasra Rahmani vs Oleksii Krutykhthis page
- Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying: Completed Match: Kasra Rahmani vs Oleksii KrutykhYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.