Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44493edf2739e34cca74def25a0b56675e7caeee8fb2b185776200a98b5fc14f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x559b…4959backed Over | 25c | 3,222$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 78c | 1,592$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 1,195$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 1,047$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 79c | 1,031$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 579.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 17c | 571.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Over | 35c | 569.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 78c | 507.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 70c | 442.47$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 379.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 31c | 274.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 18c | 271.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 17c | 255.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 241.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 20c | 201.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 6c | 192.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 80c | 188.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 13c | 156.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 124.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 14c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 107.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 14c | 98.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 92.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 74.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 37c | 68.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 77c | 42.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 28c | 41.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 58c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 21.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.