Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ce7e2abbf701301445f41be6d1347efa606b13cc44decf07ea8cea92603527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 21c | 6,666$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,905$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.4 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 1,680$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.11 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Yes | 73c | 1,287$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 1,218$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 1,130$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 79c | 970.15$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 79c | 503.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 79c | 502.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 79c | 502.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 79c | 502.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 28c | 419.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 408.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 73c | 374$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 312.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 308$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 250.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 234.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 216.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 202.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 157.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 79c | 138.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 73c | 134.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 75c | 133.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 79c | 125.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 79c | 125.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 29c | 122.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 84.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Yes | 75c | 81.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 28c | 81.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Yes | 71c | 70.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 60.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 70c | 53.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…503fbacked Yes | 73c | 33.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9413backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.