IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bba51776d2bf1671704d90c00627393af65a9d1584fc1ab04a40c5bdadeeeb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12df…6a3dbacked No | 0c | 65,292$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…a9b2backed No | 3c | 9,693$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 4c | 7,983$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…4082backed No | 3c | 7,562$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,648$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 4c | 3,632$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…bd03backed No | 7c | 3,443$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed No | 2c | 3,247$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…0321backed No | 1c | 2,606$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed No | 2c | 2,550$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 2c | 2,107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,924$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 3c | 1,839$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 2c | 1,641$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…e8f9backed No | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…e598backed No | 4c | 1,162$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 1,117$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 825$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 759.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 5c | 698.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…e35ebacked No | 2c | 629.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed No | 10c | 505.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed No | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 8c | 336$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 326.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed No | 7c | 284.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 8c | 237.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae3…4143backed No | 12c | 236.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…15eebacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…990cbacked No | 17c | 184.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…5c11backed Yes | 37c | 156.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 8c | 136$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 76c | 131.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…82cabacked Yes | 62c | 123$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 9c | 115.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…6c18backed No | 12c | 107.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…5d15backed No | 30c | 90.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -16.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 66c | 48.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…92cebacked Yes | 72c | 34.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…befcbacked Yes | 68c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…d2afbacked Yes | 67c | 25.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 32 | 93.8%30 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 73cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…d942backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 11, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 16, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 17, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 24, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.