World Politics · resolved market
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b5fb30b25870d7c212d702e5d3fc0c282375cfb95b2a603c9a8bcba49d4b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6072…a182backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…7784backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3ce2backed Yes | 14c | 11,400$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 10,285$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 15c | 7,011$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.71 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…38bfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,928$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 15c | 6,227$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 8c | 4,679$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 8c | 3,840$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 5c | 3,603$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 3,010$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…1a83backed Yes | 1c | 2,873$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 5c | 2,271$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,270$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…abb8backed Yes | 19c | 2,174$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…5614backed Yes | 18c | 2,132$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ef…70cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,689$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,555$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 3c | 1,301$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,298$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked Yes | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 13c | 1,063$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed Yes | 10c | 971.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…990cbacked Yes | 10c | 954.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked Yes | 6c | 817.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 13c | 816.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…58fcbacked Yes | 5c | 731.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed Yes | 6c | 711.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…f42ebacked Yes | 4c | 676.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…8d7abacked Yes | 8c | 614.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…3afdbacked Yes | 15c | 604.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed Yes | 5c | 586.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…2943backed Yes | 18c | 562.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed Yes | 5c | 506.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 20c | 493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…09ddbacked Yes | 20c | 492.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 18c | 479.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Yes | 21c | 470.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 9c | 432.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…77dfbacked Yes | 5c | 410.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb41…f828backed Yes | 4c | 409.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…a49abacked Yes | 4c | 367.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Yes | 15c | 330.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 14c | 327.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 4c | 326.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…fe60backed Yes | 18c | 313.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…b422backed Yes | 19c | 304.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 297.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked Yes | 4c | 258.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…53cdbacked Yes | 20c | 254.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…4138backed Yes | 22c | 227.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…13e4backed Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 13c | 165.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 14c | 157.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…3673backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 27c | 127.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…dfcabacked Yes | 23c | 119.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…9b1ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…7332backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 18c | 67.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…7bcfbacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…346bbacked Yes | 18c | 61.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…2f7cbacked Yes | 20c | 54.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x707f…9510backed Yes | 26c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?this page
- Will Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
- Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes won
- Will Renato Usatîi win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.