World Politics · resolved market
Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210273ebe50c73651ae0a077324c0de0e27a606b4ef24325dab600b344172939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 10c | 8,111$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3ce2backed No | 14c | 7,436$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 19c | 5,462$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 8c | 5,283$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.57 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed No | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 13c | 4,706$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed No | 16c | 4,189$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…5614backed No | 18c | 3,993$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 18c | 3,726$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 6c | 2,046$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 10c | 2,017$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed No | 14c | 1,939$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,895$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.74 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…1e7ebacked No | 1c | 1,863$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 4c | 1,816$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…a903backed No | 11c | 1,593$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 3c | 1,162$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed No | 8c | 1,027$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 6c | 864.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…d296backed No | 12c | 826.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 746.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…2943backed No | 20c | 661.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…e7dabacked No | 20c | 631.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…159cbacked No | 22c | 568.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed No | 16c | 564$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…abffbacked No | 18c | 545.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…28a0backed No | 19c | 542.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed No | 20c | 512.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed No | 10c | 402.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…b422backed No | 22c | 374.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 9c | 312.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…f85abacked No | 4c | 266$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 13c | 229.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked No | 5c | 214.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…c512backed No | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…3673backed No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 48c | 149.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…dcf0backed No | 14c | 129.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 55c | 127.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 15c | 101.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 79c | 100.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 18c | 100.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…cfacbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked No | 18c | 98.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…739ebacked Yes | 69c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 17c | 75.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707f…9510backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…36d9backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?this page
- Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
- Will Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
- Will Renato Usatîi win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.