Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7858f5ac0c7174ca1958f98da18d8b51400cf9d781b0cc9a1c9c8367b898fb6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Putinof Putin, Zelenskyy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Zelenskyy | 24c | 11,121$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Zelenskyy | 9c | 9,591$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.88 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Zelenskyy | 2c | 7,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Zelenskyy | 4c | 6,031$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Zelenskyy | 2c | 5,496$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Zelenskyy | 0c | 3,763$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Zelenskyy | 15c | 3,451$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.23 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Zelenskyy | 12c | 3,091$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Zelenskyy | 6c | 2,183$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…1e3ebacked Putin | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Zelenskyy | 9c | 1,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…9d8fbacked Zelenskyy | 14c | 1,286$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Zelenskyy | 3c | 1,229$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Putin | 78c | 1,210$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Zelenskyy | 42c | 1,176$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Zelenskyy | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Zelenskyy | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed Zelenskyy | 8c | 854.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Zelenskyy | 13c | 765.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Zelenskyy | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Zelenskyy | 5c | 657.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Zelenskyy | 13c | 626.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Putin | 59c | 586.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Zelenskyy | 12c | 583.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Zelenskyy | 13c | 554.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Putin | 72c | 552.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Zelenskyy | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…45e7backed Zelenskyy | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…f485backed Zelenskyy | 6c | 420.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Zelenskyy | 20c | 413.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Putin | 80c | 410$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zelenskyy | 3c | 373.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Zelenskyy | 11c | 319.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Putin | 59c | 318$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Putin | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Zelenskyy | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…6006backed Putin | 59c | 275$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zelenskyy | 19c | 260.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Putin | 78c | 240.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Putin | 58c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Zelenskyy | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Zelenskyy | 5c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Zelenskyy | 14c | 195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Zelenskyy | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Zelenskyy | 39c | 164.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…1584backed Putin | 66c | 151.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Putin | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Zelenskyy | 18c | 149.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Putin | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Zelenskyy | 22c | 124.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Zelenskyy | 15c | 116.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Zelenskyy | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Putin | 60c | 107.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…1211backed Zelenskyy | 38c | 102.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Putin | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Putin | 76c | 89.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Zelenskyy | 15c | 82.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Zelenskyy | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…ab37backed Putin | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…0208backed Zelenskyy | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Putin | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Zelenskyy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8312…133dbacked Zelenskyy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed Zelenskyy | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Putin | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Putin | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed Putin | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Zelenskyy | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Putin | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…514abacked Putin | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509e…7f24backed Putin | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Zelenskyy | 37c | 30.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Putin | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Putin | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…a335backed Putin | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…8870backed Putin | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8778backed Putin | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Putin | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…9b53backed Putin | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…bf14backed Putin | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked Putin | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Putin | 74c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.