Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9ba36986fca499dd5b120dcb222419c55937e0251bb776e46830033f471e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhuoxuan Baiof Zhuoxuan Bai, Jiajing Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jiajing Lu | 13c | 22,363$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.43 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Jiajing Lu | 14c | 9,737$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.06 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jiajing Lu | 8c | 9,106$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.22 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiajing Lu | 15c | 4,044$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jiajing Lu | 12c | 2,942$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 1,997$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.43 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 1,795$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.91 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Jiajing Lu | 3c | 1,578$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jiajing Lu | 7c | 1,563$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Jiajing Lu | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Jiajing Lu | 11c | 1,499$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Jiajing Lu | 19c | 1,461$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…41bfbacked Jiajing Lu | 7c | 975$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Jiajing Lu | 11c | 835.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 824.22$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jiajing Lu | 19c | 377.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jiajing Lu | 25c | 325.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Jiajing Lu | 20c | 313.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Jiajing Lu | 15c | 292.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jiajing Lu | 9c | 226.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Jiajing Lu | 9c | 222.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…2d10backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 218.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Jiajing Lu | 8c | 207.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiajing Lu | 14c | 189.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Jiajing Lu | 10c | 178.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Jiajing Lu | 19c | 159.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Jiajing Lu | 11c | 155.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Jiajing Lu | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…43ebbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 80c | 120.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jiajing Lu | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Jiajing Lu | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiajing Lu | 20c | 100.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jiajing Lu | 15c | 97.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jiajing Lu | 19c | 82.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Jiajing Lu | 17c | 76.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Jiajing Lu | 21c | 66.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Jiajing Lu | 23c | 62.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Jiajing Lu | 18c | 62.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 61.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Jiajing Lu | 17c | 61.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Jiajing Lu | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 31.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 118 | 91.5%108 W · 10 L | +17.4wins | +0.15per pick | 77cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.