TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Athens Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sara Bejlekof Viktoria Morvayova, Sara Bejlek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafac…8730backed Viktoria Morvayova13c131,755$17,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,284.2824631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Viktoria Morvayova7c19,798$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.0193740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab7…0ddebacked Viktoria Morvayova3c12,790$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415190%0 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Viktoria Morvayova10c7,394$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e9…79c6backed Viktoria Morvayova10c6,922$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.976041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Viktoria Morvayova4c2,774$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.194,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Viktoria Morvayova15c2,651$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Viktoria Morvayova10c1,707$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.663,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Viktoria Morvayova9c1,581$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4728221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Viktoria Morvayova10c1,525$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1232333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Viktoria Morvayova3c1,386$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5853043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Viktoria Morvayova2c1,223$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Viktoria Morvayova7c1,139$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Viktoria Morvayova7c1,111$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.771,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Viktoria Morvayova9c1,062$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.262,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Viktoria Morvayova9c1,036$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.536621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Viktoria Morvayova15c600$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.619841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655b…ec8bbacked Viktoria Morvayova10c549.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.265666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Viktoria Morvayova10c522.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408c…2e26backed Viktoria Morvayova11c517.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Viktoria Morvayova7c514.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2417224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Viktoria Morvayova6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Viktoria Morvayova11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Viktoria Morvayova5c380.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.993,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd943…3974backed Viktoria Morvayova3c349.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Viktoria Morvayova7c327.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92a2…5ccebacked Viktoria Morvayova13c318.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Viktoria Morvayova13c280.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.292,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2c…b707backed Viktoria Morvayova9c268.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7411126.1%29 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Viktoria Morvayova15c213.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Viktoria Morvayova11c211.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.111,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Viktoria Morvayova12c168.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015864.6%102 W · 56 L-0.8wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Viktoria Morvayova9c141.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Viktoria Morvayova15c123.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.073,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Viktoria Morvayova11c101.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.214440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Viktoria Morvayova12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…0b3cbacked Viktoria Morvayova11c95.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Viktoria Morvayova13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011839%46 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b59…dd43backed Viktoria Morvayova15c69.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.