Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8250b2fbea3eef6a5afd2906c2914384b662825fe584d2f0bb40cd351f61e747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 62c | 4,714$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.46 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 80c | 3,203$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.36 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 2,296$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.18 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 49c | 1,981$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 9c | 1,410$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 20c | 1,053$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 845.92$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 3c | 823.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 648.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 59c | 595.2$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 38c | 584.09$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 42c | 462.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 38c | 405.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 371.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 302.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 52c | 300.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 286.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 254.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 243.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 217.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 198.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…50d5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 46c | 189.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 181.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 38c | 138.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 39c | 133.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 39c | 112.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 41c | 111.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 110.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 44c | 109.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 45c | 106.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 13c | 98.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 44c | 90.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 30c | 78.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 45c | 75.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 49c | 70.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 36c | 70.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 57c | 68.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 21c | 63.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 55c | 63.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 38c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 42c | 34.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 27.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 26.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…07ecbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 66c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 46c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 52c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.