Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61697cbb9c0f3abec2014d155f1e6a802cfb1be5392c16b761a00abc0588b203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Yes | 55c | 8,355$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 35c | 3,136$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.02 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 2,937$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 65c | 2,643$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 9c | 2,624$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 2,480$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 2,030$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 29c | 1,453$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.37 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 71c | 1,453$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 45c | 1,351$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 1,350$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.78 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 1,151$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 1,061$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 32c | 921.66$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 75c | 879.56$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 22c | 870.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 552$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 506.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 24c | 468.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 450.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 388.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 23c | 375.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 75c | 318.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 304.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…0979backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes | 56c | 291.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 74c | 286.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 23c | 277.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 264.78$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 253.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 68c | 214.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 45c | 187.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 44c | 182.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 8c | 178.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 26c | 176.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 36c | 159.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…4b86backed Yes | 64c | 156.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…765abacked No | 19c | 139$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 22c | 135.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 66c | 132.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 32c | 130.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 112.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 110.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 44c | 90.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 90.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 56c | 73.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 72.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 28c | 64.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 70c | 62.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 45c | 58.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 73c | 47.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 56c | 42.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 47c | 41.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 72c | 41.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 45c | 39.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 72c | 38.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 41c | 32.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 45c | 28.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 45c | 27.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 45c | 25.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 68c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…fa8dbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5a58backed Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.